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Korea bank estimates than expected price

As the domestic price increase rate climbed larger than expected, the Korea Bank decided to raise the criterion rate to 0.25% p in three months.

The Bank of Korea said that the Bank of Korea has decided to operate the financial monetary committee (MPC) and exceeded 1.50% of the basis for 0.25% P up by 0.25% P up. The Movie was held for the first time for the first time,

At a reporter's conference shortly after the MILD, the Murple Manctuary was the main background of the criteria rate hike. "There was a large change in a month, and there was a rise in oil prices," he said, "In Ukraine, the rise in prices in Ukraine, could not help the governor," he said, "he said.

March domestic water rose 4.1% YoY.

As for market expectations that the criterion rate will raise up to 2.0% YoY, the main committee shall be that the market expectation of the rate of interest rates will be increased as " As a waterfront, I do not have to increase it, but I do not think it's going to be more.

Bank of Korea Joins the Tightening Trend With Rate Hike

The main Mortgage was difficult to see that it was a stagnation. Stagulation refers to a phenomenon in which the economy is stagnated at the same time as the price increases. The main committee said, "It is difficult to say that the price of the price of price is about 4%, but it is still a stagnation that the growth rate will still be about 2% of the growth rate."

In addition, it is said that the rate of interest rate is not interfering with the economic growth pathway. He said, "Ukraine is approximately the second month, and it is a negative impact on international oil prices and raw material prices. I answered.

The main committee said, "If you combine it by this impression, you have a lot of impressions, because the game is backed by the game," and the game rate is slowly adjusted to the recovery. " It has been recovering rapidly since mid-March (which will be able to offset some negative impacts (due to interest rate hikes). "

On the other hand, if the rate of interest rate of the US Federal Reserve is faster, there is a possibility of capital leakage in Korea, but a large-scale capital leak would not happen when considering economic fundamentals.

The main committee said, "It is true that the rapid rate hike of the US Federal Reserve is the rise in the exchange rate of the exchange rate, and at the same time to generate capital leaking pressure," said, "The growth of the Korean economy is still good and watering, but in fact, Compared to the relatively not so high, the current account surge is continued to continue, and even if the exchange rate and capital leakage pressure, it is not big, "he said."

The following is a call policy orientation specialist.

The financial monetary committee has decided to upgrade the Korean banking criteria until the next currency policy direction decision to upgrade to 1.25% to 1.50% to 1.50% to operate the monetary policy.

The global economy has been accelerated as the recovery was slightly slowed down due to the influence of Ukraine. In the International Financial Market, the majority of national government bond interest rates increased in large-rise, due to expectations for the normalization of the US Fed monetary policy normalization, and the US dollars showed strength. The share price was significantly lowered and rebounded. In the future, the World Economy is expected to resume recovery flows due to the relaxation of major countries, but it is expected to resume recovery flow, but it is expected to be influenced by corona 19 deployment situation, global inflationary movement, major national monetary policy changes, geopolitical risk.

The domestic economy continued to recover. While the equipment investment has been affected by the global supply disruption, exports continued to be robust, and private consumption was a bit improved due to the recent recovery flow and recently relaxed. The employment situation continued to continue to increase the number of employees of large widths. In the future, the domestic economy will be partially influenced by the Ukrainian situation, but exports will continue to continue to grow and continue to improve their private consumption and continue to recover. Among this year, GDP growth rate is expected to lower the forecast (3%) in February.

Consumer prices have increased significantly by 4% due to the largest rise in the price of oil flow, expanding large width of oil flow, expansion of industrial products and personal service prices. The originating rate (grocery and energy exclusion index) and the general public expectation inflation rate rose to the second half of the year. In the future, consumer prices will continue to continue the high rise in 4% for the time being, and the rise in the rise in February (3.1%) in the year of this year is expected to survive. The originating rate of origin is expected to continue to continue the internal level of 3% a considerable period of time.

In the financial markets, the Long-term Market Rate and the won / dollar exchange rate rose sharply, and the share price was significantly blocked. Household loans decreased slightly, and housing prices fell slightly around the metropolitan area.

The Financial Call Committee will continue to grow in the future, and will ensure that the rise in the price increase rate in the medium-sized watch can be stabilized at the goal level, and will be able to operate the monetary policy in response to financial stability. The uncertainties of both internal and external conditions are understood, but the domestic economy will continue to recover and exceed the price of a significant period of price, and the degree of relaxation of the monetary policy will be appropriately adjusted. In this process, the additional adjustment of the degree of relaxation will be judged by inspecting the development situation of Corona 19, financial imbalance, cumulative risk, major national currency policy changes, geopolitical risks, growth and waterfront flows.


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